Strategic Complements with First Mover Advantage

We show the existence of equilibrium and first mover advantage when two firms sequentially invest in quality improvement of their respective products. Although the actions (investment levels) of the firms are strategic complements, the second mover does not have an advantage. This is because, although firms are a priori identical, a change in rival investment can affect a firm differently, depending on whether the rival has a higher or lower level of investment. Thus, the marginal payoff with respect to rival action will differ for the first and second mover. We also show that the first mover may choose a higher level of investment than the second mover even though actions are strategic complements and the first mover's marginal payoff with respect to second mover action is negative.     

An empirical analysis on the law of purchasing power parity and international economic deepening

This article empirically investigates the effect of international trade on the deviation of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) law and on the international economic deepening in four developed countries (Japan, USA, UK and France), and three Asian developing ones (South Korea, Singapore and Malaysia), using International Financial Statistics (IFS) data issued by International Monetary Fund (IMF). Our results show that in some developed countries the imbalance effect of balance of payments is significant for both international deepening and deviation from PPP, and in some developing countries the volume effect of balance of payments is significant for international deepening.     

Hospitality Bankruptcy in United States of America: A Multiple Discriminant Analysis-Logit Model Comparison

This study examines bankruptcy prediction of hospitality firms within U.S. equity markets. The article investigates whether the Logit model or the Multiple Discriminant Analysis (MDA) accurately predict bankruptcy, specifically it attempts to investigate how accurate Logit and MDA models are. Various key financial variables were utilized as predictors and contrasting samples of both bankrupt and non-bankrupt firms for the period 1992–2010 were used. In this analysis Statistical software SPSS 20 was utilized for the analysis. Results show that for the period 1992–2010, the MDA model outperformed the Logit model for overall bankruptcy prediction. Theoretical and practical implications were offered based on the results. The study is critical given the signi?cant number of hospitality enterprises being intensely impacted by the recent economic downturn. Consequently, the hospitality industry in United States demands higher degree of accuracy from bankruptcy prediction models to forecast economic failure.     

A comparative dynamic analysis of a growth model under alternate policy regimes

Comparative dynamic analysis is conducted on a growth model with variable price levels and wage rates. A perturbation technique is used to compare the economy's time paths near a balanced growth path in response to alternate policy regimes. Various dynamic policy multipliers are calculated in response to some of the alternate policy regimes such as the balanced-budget fiscal regime, the constant price regime, the full-employment regime, etc., to examine their dynamic implications on the economy's behavior. Temporary deviations in the fiscal variables are found to leave no permanent effects under all but one of the regimes examined.     

Understanding Douglass North in game-theoretic language

By using game-theoretic language, this paper attempts to interpret the North's recent framework for institutional studies. Particularly relying on a foundational study of knowledge and culture in epistemic game theory, it clarifies three subtly different meanings of the beliefs used by North – behavioral, cultural, and elites’ subjective – in the evolutions of institutions. It also suggests the ways to respond to the North's call for interdisciplinary approach by applying analytical tools of strategic complementarities and linked games.     

Monetary reaction functions in a small open economy

Monetary reaction functions are constructed in an intertemporal optimization framework. The time-varying coefficients to be put on the variations of the exchange rate and the asset stock are then derived by solving a matrix Riccati equation. As the planning horizon extends to infinity, a related algebraic Riccati equation coincides with those derived from minimization of stationary state variances only under certain conditions. Under the assumed full information by the government, reaction functions using realized values of exogenous shocks result in dynamics that do not enjoy the same stability property as the ones obtained by explicit intertemporal optimization.     

An Evolving Diversity of Organizational Mode and Its Implications for Transitional Economies

The paper constructs a theoretical framework for analyzing the comparative informational efficiency of five organizational modes, each modeled after an evolving diversity of a firm′s internal organization in market economies. It then discusses analytical implications for the organizational reform which may emerge within the ex-state-owned enterprise under evolutionary constraints of the transition, particularly under the tendency toward insider control. It is maintained that possible organizational reform hinges upon the coevolution of complementary ownership structure and financial monitoring mechanism. J. Japan. Int. Econ., December 1995, 9(4), pp. 330–353. Department of Economics, Stanford University, Stanford, California 94305.     

Relative Prices and Inflation Stabilization

When price adjustment is sluggish, inflation is costly in terms of welfare because it distorts various kinds of relative prices. Stabilizing aggregate price inflation does not necessarily minimize these costs, but stabilizing a well‐designed core inflation minimizes the cost of relative price fluctuations and, thus, the cost of inflation.     

Non-self-averaging and the statistical mechanics of endogenous macroeconomic fluctuations

Strong fluctuation phenomena are an endogenous feature of economic systems if they are non-self-averaging. We show that an important consequence of non-self-averaging is that current forms of economic policy can be rendered useless. We also find non-self-averaging both to exist in microeconomic models of cluster development within economies and to be consistent with observed economic power laws. These results suggest the need for straightforward identification of non-self-averaging in economic systems and to this end we present a sufficient condition for non-self-averaging in terms familiar to financial risk management.